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Red164
2791.3
556192.3
528248.6
Blue198
552476.4
566246.6
634451.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2371230100200300400164198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.34.7
84.079.3
Auto7.8
Teleop40.7
End43.8
red by 15.9
5524
#13
76.44.3
58.162.4
Auto9.5
Teleop35.2
End31.8
Second
27
#19
91.34.7
78.173.4
Auto10.6
Teleop49.5
End31.1
red by 40.1
6344
#12
51.17.2
29.937.2
Auto6.7
Teleop25.6
End18.9
Third
5282
#22
48.64.7
47.442.7
Auto5.5
Teleop29.3
End13.8
red by 2.1
5662
#27
46.67.2
44.852.0
Auto8.0
Teleop29.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed