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Red311
485188.3
2137118.7
54886.7
Blue200
584392.3
439043.1
353987.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306215100400500600311200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.71.9
110.3112.2
Auto19.1
Teleop46.2
End53.4
red by 26.4
92.31.4
92.090.7
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End39.8
Second
4851
#15
88.31.9
85.086.8
Auto10.8
Teleop33.2
End44.3
red by 1.2
87.11.4
81.179.8
Auto11.8
Teleop40.2
End35.2
Third
548
#16
86.71.9
82.784.5
Auto12.3
Teleop41.2
End33.3
red by 43.6
4390
#26
43.11.4
43.642.2
Auto5.0
Teleop28.7
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed