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Red220
30881.1
528248.6
330272.5
Blue170
566246.6
485188.3
556234.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2171670100300400500220170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#11
81.10.4
77.577.2
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End41.6
blue by 7.2
4851
#15
88.30.1
86.886.8
Auto10.8
Teleop33.2
End44.3
Second
3302
#29
72.50.3
72.872.5
Auto3.6
Teleop36.3
End32.5
red by 25.9
5662
#27
46.60.1
44.544.5
Auto8.0
Teleop29.1
End9.5
Third
5282
#22
48.60.3
48.948.6
Auto5.5
Teleop29.3
End13.8
red by 14.2
5562
#36
34.40.1
34.534.4
Auto6.3
Teleop28.5
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed