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Red311
2791.3
586069.0
353987.1
Blue237
509066.8
564159.1
611797.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229235150200250300350311237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#19
91.36.2
79.485.6
Auto10.6
Teleop49.5
End31.1
blue by 5.9
6117
#14
97.21.0
94.295.1
Auto8.3
Teleop51.7
End37.1
Second
87.16.9
79.886.6
Auto11.8
Teleop40.2
End35.2
red by 20.4
5090
#25
66.81.1
71.072.0
Auto9.8
Teleop27.4
End29.6
Third
5860
#17
69.07.6
59.166.7
Auto8.2
Teleop28.9
End31.9
red by 9.9
5641
#32
59.11.1
57.558.6
Auto3.9
Teleop32.8
End22.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed