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Red278
509066.8
67103.4
33126.6
Blue205
611797.2
556192.3
586069.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339262100200300400500278205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#6
126.60.8
131.4130.5
Auto16.0
Teleop61.2
End49.3
red by 29.4
6117
#14
97.21.2
97.496.2
Auto8.3
Teleop51.7
End37.1
Second
67
#1
103.40.8
108.2107.3
Auto11.2
Teleop48.6
End43.5
red by 11.0
92.31.2
92.591.3
Auto7.8
Teleop40.7
End43.8
Third
5090
#25
66.80.8
71.670.7
Auto9.8
Teleop27.4
End29.6
blue by 2.2
5860
#17
69.01.3
69.267.9
Auto8.2
Teleop28.9
End31.9