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Red287
509066.8
67103.4
33126.6
Blue255
611797.2
556192.3
586069.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333263100200300400500287255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#6
126.61.0
129.6128.6
Auto16.0
Teleop61.2
End49.3
red by 29.4
6117
#14
97.20.1
97.397.2
Auto8.3
Teleop51.7
End37.1
Second
67
#1
103.41.0
106.4105.4
Auto11.2
Teleop48.6
End43.5
red by 11.0
92.30.1
92.492.3
Auto7.8
Teleop40.7
End43.8
Third
5090
#25
66.81.0
69.868.8
Auto9.8
Teleop27.4
End29.6
blue by 2.2
5860
#17
69.00.1
69.169.0
Auto8.2
Teleop28.9
End31.9