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Red283
531678.9
3620104.6
4003108.0
Blue205
562256.6
544859.6
516265.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3291660100200300400283205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.00.7
107.4106.7
Auto15.7
Teleop40.7
End51.5
red by 42.3
5162
#16
65.70.6
64.865.3
Auto10.0
Teleop33.4
End22.3
Second
104.60.7
104.0103.3
Auto13.3
Teleop55.1
End36.2
red by 45.0
5448
#14
59.60.6
58.759.2
Auto6.9
Teleop29.9
End22.8
Third
5316
#23
78.90.7
78.377.6
Auto8.0
Teleop39.6
End31.3
red by 22.3
5622
#15
56.60.6
55.756.3
Auto8.0
Teleop30.0
End18.6