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Red289
240567.2
2054101.2
1918105.1
Blue296
10770.6
5927101.9
400485.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2902680100200400500289296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#10
105.10.4
104.8105.1
Auto9.2
Teleop50.5
End45.4
red by 3.2
101.90.9
101.5102.4
Auto5.3
Teleop46.1
End50.5
Second
101.20.4
100.8101.2
Auto10.3
Teleop51.4
End39.5
red by 15.7
4004
#21
85.50.9
85.186.0
Auto8.2
Teleop43.9
End33.4
Third
2405
#28
67.20.4
66.867.2
Auto9.9
Teleop39.1
End18.2
blue by 3.5
107
#19
70.60.9
70.271.1
Auto12.6
Teleop42.0
End16.0