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Red292
606559.2
432596.1
85103.7
Blue265
141103.5
5675113.2
598077.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262321150200300350400450500292265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#11
103.70.8
102.8103.6
Auto10.6
Teleop44.9
End48.2
blue by 9.5
113.20.7
113.8113.1
Auto10.0
Teleop49.5
End53.7
Second
96.10.8
95.396.1
Auto12.9
Teleop41.9
End41.4
blue by 7.4
141
#9
103.50.7
104.1103.4
Auto12.2
Teleop40.4
End50.8
Third
6065
#29
59.20.8
58.459.2
Auto7.2
Teleop28.3
End23.7
blue by 18.4
5980
#26
77.60.7
78.277.5
Auto13.1
Teleop37.0
End27.5