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Red100
85103.7
606559.2
516265.7
Blue85
525537.7
345842.7
10770.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226134010020030040010085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#11
103.77.2
88.781.6
Auto10.6
Teleop44.9
End48.2
red by 33.0
107
#19
70.63.6
54.150.5
Auto12.6
Teleop42.0
End16.0
Second
5162
#16
65.711.9
62.050.1
Auto10.0
Teleop33.4
End22.3
red by 23.0
3458
#37
42.76.1
44.638.5
Auto3.4
Teleop37.4
End1.9
Third
6065
#29
59.211.9
51.739.7
Auto7.2
Teleop28.3
End23.7
red by 21.5
5255
#27
37.76.1
40.834.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed