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Red135
544859.6
566436.7
562256.6
Blue190
141103.5
547031.3
642840.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159173050100200250300350135190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5448
#14
59.62.9
56.453.5
Auto6.9
Teleop29.9
End22.8
blue by 43.9
141
#9
103.51.8
94.396.2
Auto12.2
Teleop40.4
End50.8
Second
5622
#15
56.63.8
58.254.4
Auto8.0
Teleop30.0
End18.6
red by 16.1
6428
#38
40.52.5
39.942.3
Auto4.3
Teleop20.6
End15.6
Third
5664
#41
36.73.8
38.334.5
Auto4.1
Teleop29.1
End3.5
red by 5.4
5470
#18
31.32.5
28.230.6
Auto3.4
Teleop20.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed