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Red325
4536117.8
5913107.8
4539101.2
Blue445
2512116.1
3130116.4
288398.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34840502006008001,000325445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#21
117.80.3
118.5118.2
Auto11.8
Teleop52.3
End53.7
red by 1.4
116.40.3
116.3116.6
Auto10.8
Teleop54.1
End51.5
Second
107.80.3
108.6108.2
Auto13.8
Teleop44.1
End50.0
blue by 8.3
2512
#10
116.10.3
116.0116.4
Auto14.7
Teleop51.1
End50.4
Third
101.20.3
101.9101.6
Auto7.0
Teleop47.5
End46.6
red by 2.8
2883
#14
98.40.3
98.398.6
Auto12.1
Teleop50.2
End36.0