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Red295
363092.9
439785.3
2169117.4
Blue309
298789.9
250984.9
3293112.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903200200400600800295309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.41.0
117.4118.4
Auto9.7
Teleop57.3
End50.3
red by 5.4
112.00.6
104.4105.0
Auto10.5
Teleop43.8
End57.7
Second
3630
#19
92.91.6
78.480.1
Auto4.8
Teleop49.4
End38.6
red by 3.0
2987
#18
89.90.8
99.7100.6
Auto5.3
Teleop35.4
End49.2
Third
4397
#28
85.31.5
83.585.0
Auto7.3
Teleop37.0
End41.0
red by 0.3
2509
#23
84.90.6
96.196.7
Auto9.9
Teleop33.9
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed