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Red215
419899.7
250077.8
472876.8
Blue318
3130116.4
288398.4
217583.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271302100200400500215318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.73.1
98.895.7
Auto10.2
Teleop45.6
End43.9
blue by 16.7
116.40.7
117.7118.4
Auto10.8
Teleop54.1
End51.5
Second
2500
#34
77.83.1
83.580.4
Auto8.7
Teleop36.1
End33.0
blue by 20.6
2883
#14
98.40.7
94.695.3
Auto12.1
Teleop50.2
End36.0
Third
4728
#35
76.83.5
79.576.0
Auto10.3
Teleop31.9
End34.6
blue by 6.6
83.30.7
70.671.3
Auto8.3
Teleop47.0
End28.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed10%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed