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Red309
485995.5
670971.3
3277109.9
Blue280
420783.2
674965.0
2512116.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3002470100200400500600309280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#11
109.90.4
110.3110.7
Auto10.8
Teleop48.3
End50.7
blue by 6.3
2512
#10
116.10.9
108.8109.7
Auto14.7
Teleop51.1
End50.4
Second
4859
#24
95.50.4
93.894.2
Auto9.0
Teleop40.8
End45.7
red by 12.3
4207
#12
83.20.9
80.581.4
Auto11.8
Teleop43.6
End27.8
Third
6709
#16
71.30.5
74.174.6
Auto9.3
Teleop29.1
End32.9
red by 6.3
6749
#22
65.01.0
52.253.2
Auto6.4
Teleop39.2
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed