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Red345
439785.3
563887.5
4536117.8
Blue275
675888.4
217583.3
3299105.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29427005001,0001,5002,000345275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#21
117.84.6
113.3117.9
Auto11.8
Teleop52.3
End53.7
red by 12.5
3299
#13
105.31.0
104.0105.0
Auto8.3
Teleop46.6
End50.4
Second
87.54.6
84.989.6
Auto9.0
Teleop49.4
End29.1
blue by 0.9
6758
#15
88.41.0
81.882.8
Auto6.3
Teleop53.6
End28.5
Third
4397
#28
85.34.6
77.782.3
Auto7.3
Teleop37.0
End41.0
red by 1.9
83.31.0
74.175.1
Auto8.3
Teleop47.0
End28.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsEarned9%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed