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Red239
4539101.2
250984.9
250077.8
Blue290
670971.3
419899.7
218195.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283285220240260300320340360239290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.22.1
104.0101.9
Auto7.0
Teleop47.5
End46.6
red by 1.5
99.71.0
100.699.7
Auto10.2
Teleop45.6
End43.9
Second
2509
#23
84.92.1
87.184.9
Auto9.9
Teleop33.9
End41.1
blue by 10.5
2181
#27
95.41.0
96.495.4
Auto11.0
Teleop47.0
End37.4
Third
2500
#34
77.82.1
79.977.8
Auto8.7
Teleop36.1
End33.0
red by 6.5
6709
#16
71.31.0
72.371.3
Auto9.3
Teleop29.1
End32.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed10%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed