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Red206
2052104.7
485995.5
2512116.1
Blue305
3293112.0
2169117.4
417487.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329331250300350400206305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#10
116.17.6
115.5108.0
Auto14.7
Teleop51.1
End50.4
blue by 1.2
117.40.2
118.4118.2
Auto9.7
Teleop57.3
End50.3
Second
2052
#29
104.77.6
106.599.0
Auto13.0
Teleop46.1
End45.6
blue by 7.3
112.00.2
105.0104.8
Auto10.5
Teleop43.8
End57.7
Third
4859
#24
95.57.6
97.389.7
Auto9.0
Teleop40.8
End45.7
red by 7.6
4174
#31
87.90.3
84.984.7
Auto10.3
Teleop37.2
End40.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed