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Red285
250077.8
4536117.8
375589.7
Blue352
5913107.8
5172127.7
2169117.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3023550100200400500600700285352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#21
117.80.6
113.2112.6
Auto11.8
Teleop52.3
End53.7
blue by 9.9
127.71.4
122.5123.9
Auto17.4
Teleop60.0
End50.3
Second
3755
#25
89.70.6
93.092.4
Auto11.1
Teleop44.7
End33.9
blue by 27.7
117.41.4
118.2119.6
Auto9.7
Teleop57.3
End50.3
Third
2500
#34
77.80.6
87.887.2
Auto8.7
Teleop36.1
End33.0
blue by 30.0
107.81.9
90.091.9
Auto13.8
Teleop44.1
End50.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsEarned