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Red190
179272.2
417474.2
388366.4
Blue145
331359.2
372369.1
220278.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2142270100300400500190145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.3
71.570.3
Auto7.8
Teleop35.4
End31.0
blue by 4.7
2202
#14
78.82.2
80.878.6
Auto6.8
Teleop33.7
End38.4
Second
1792
#24
72.21.3
69.568.3
Auto8.7
Teleop29.4
End34.1
red by 3.1
69.12.2
71.369.1
Auto7.6
Teleop27.8
End33.7
Third
3883
#17
66.41.3
63.862.5
Auto8.5
Teleop37.8
End20.1
red by 7.2
3313
#11
59.22.2
61.259.0
Auto7.4
Teleop23.6
End28.2