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Quarterfinal 4-32017 Northern Lights Regional
Red282
179272.2
417474.2
388366.4
Blue216
331359.2
303669.1
220278.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2102190100300400282216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#4
74.21.4
70.0→68.6
Auto7.8
Teleop35.4
End31.0
blue by 4.7
2202
#14
78.80.3
78.5→78.8
Auto6.8
Teleop33.7
End38.4
Second
1792
#24
72.21.4
68.0→66.6
Auto8.7
Teleop29.4
End34.1
red by 3.1
3036
#18
69.10.3
68.8→69.1
Auto10.3
Teleop39.8
End19.0
Third
3883
#17
66.41.4
62.2→60.8
Auto8.5
Teleop37.8
End20.1
red by 7.2
3313
#11
59.20.3
58.9→59.2
Auto7.4
Teleop23.6
End28.2