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Red289
298799.7
249172.5
250989.1
Blue138
388366.4
250252.0
217558.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239224150200300350400289138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.77.1
87.394.5
Auto7.1
Teleop36.8
End55.9
red by 33.3
3883
#17
66.48.5
74.766.2
Auto8.5
Teleop37.8
End20.1
Second
89.17.1
73.380.4
Auto13.1
Teleop36.0
End40.0
red by 30.8
2175
#39
58.38.5
81.372.8
Auto7.0
Teleop37.0
End14.4
Third
2491
#13
72.57.1
64.171.2
Auto6.3
Teleop38.6
End27.6
red by 20.5
2502
#36
52.08.5
58.650.1
Auto5.0
Teleop28.8
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed