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Red305
313096.5
250989.1
661375.2
Blue255
388366.4
417474.2
179272.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2801940100400500305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.51.7
94.195.7
Auto8.3
Teleop54.6
End33.7
red by 22.4
74.21.9
68.670.5
Auto7.8
Teleop35.4
End31.0
Second
89.11.7
86.688.3
Auto13.1
Teleop36.0
End40.0
red by 16.9
1792
#24
72.21.9
66.668.5
Auto8.7
Teleop29.4
End34.1
Third
6613
#16
75.21.7
72.774.4
Auto6.8
Teleop33.9
End34.6
red by 8.8
3883
#17
66.41.9
60.862.7
Auto8.5
Teleop37.8
End20.1