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Red255
313096.5
250989.1
661375.2
Blue219
388366.4
417474.2
179272.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288212100400500255219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.50.3
97.297.0
Auto8.3
Teleop54.6
End33.7
red by 22.4
74.20.2
74.074.2
Auto7.8
Teleop35.4
End31.0
Second
89.10.3
89.789.5
Auto13.1
Teleop36.0
End40.0
red by 16.9
1792
#24
72.20.2
71.972.2
Auto8.7
Teleop29.4
End34.1
Third
6613
#16
75.20.3
75.975.6
Auto6.8
Teleop33.9
End34.6
red by 8.8
3883
#17
66.40.2
66.266.4
Auto8.5
Teleop37.8
End20.1