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Red291
2052107.6
453993.7
9376.0
Blue215
375588.4
329392.4
569077.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300287100150200250350400450500291215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.60.3
109.3109.6
Auto12.9
Teleop44.0
End50.7
red by 15.2
92.41.9
98.796.8
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End42.6
Second
93.70.3
95.495.7
Auto6.3
Teleop45.6
End41.8
red by 5.3
3755
#20
88.41.9
92.490.5
Auto10.6
Teleop37.5
End40.4
Third
93
#41
76.00.3
77.778.0
Auto6.0
Teleop38.5
End31.5
blue by 1.1
5690
#52
77.11.9
83.481.5
Auto8.0
Teleop39.5
End29.7