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Red309
2052107.6
453993.7
9376.0
Blue165
525360.3
329392.4
569077.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29724150100150200350400450309165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.61.1
106.5107.6
Auto12.9
Teleop44.0
End50.7
red by 15.2
92.42.3
94.792.4
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End42.6
Second
93.71.1
92.693.7
Auto6.3
Teleop45.6
End41.8
red by 16.6
5690
#52
77.12.3
79.477.1
Auto8.0
Teleop39.5
End29.7
Third
93
#41
76.01.1
74.876.0
Auto6.0
Teleop38.5
End31.5
red by 15.7
5253
#13
60.32.3
62.660.3
Auto4.6
Teleop31.8
End23.8