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Red285
569077.1
329392.4
375588.4
Blue186
484569.7
222766.2
226476.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2882170100400500285186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.40.7
95.095.7
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End42.6
red by 15.6
2264
#11
76.80.9
77.876.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.7
End46.5
Second
3755
#20
88.40.7
88.789.4
Auto10.6
Teleop37.5
End40.4
red by 18.7
4845
#42
69.70.9
70.769.7
Auto3.4
Teleop34.2
End32.1
Third
5690
#52
77.10.7
79.780.4
Auto8.0
Teleop39.5
End29.7
red by 10.9
66.20.9
67.166.2
Auto7.9
Teleop28.6
End29.7