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Red110
423834.2
253135.6
384075.3
Blue165
602239.3
418261.5
171467.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351690100200300400500110165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3840
#38
75.32.5
49.446.9
Auto7.8
Teleop35.9
End31.6
red by 7.7
1714
#46
67.61.0
60.761.7
Auto9.0
Teleop34.3
End24.3
Second
2531
#57
35.62.5
49.346.8
Auto4.9
Teleop23.4
End7.3
blue by 26.0
4182
#26
61.51.0
53.054.0
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End28.6
Third
4238
#50
34.22.5
34.231.7
Auto2.6
Teleop35.0
End-3.3
blue by 5.1
6022
#29
39.31.0
42.043.0
Auto9.9
Teleop26.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed