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Red145
439783.5
305452.1
253135.6
Blue290
474170.9
327567.9
226476.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1921790100300400500600145290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.53.7
85.982.2
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End45.7
red by 6.6
2264
#11
76.811.7
63.174.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.7
End46.5
Second
3054
#49
52.13.7
55.852.1
Auto5.0
Teleop27.8
End19.2
blue by 18.8
4741
#31
70.912.6
58.370.9
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End37.5
Third
2531
#57
35.63.7
39.335.6
Auto4.9
Teleop23.4
End7.3
blue by 32.3
3275
#12
67.911.7
50.462.2
Auto5.7
Teleop37.2
End25.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed