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Red255
217573.2
310274.4
419890.9
Blue165
212941.2
250251.1
423961.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2661540100200300400500255165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.90.6
93.392.8
Auto6.5
Teleop45.4
End39.0
red by 29.3
4239
#17
61.60.1
50.950.9
Auto13.9
Teleop30.1
End17.6
Second
3102
#13
74.40.6
79.578.9
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End33.0
red by 23.3
2502
#24
51.10.1
67.767.6
Auto8.8
Teleop40.5
End1.9
Third
2175
#14
73.20.6
65.564.9
Auto8.6
Teleop42.8
End21.8
red by 32.0
2129
#19
41.20.1
42.442.3
Auto2.9
Teleop25.6
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed