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Red210
217573.2
304274.9
423961.6
Blue214
318481.7
324499.2
302677.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2062250100300400500210214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#18
74.90.8
82.082.8
Auto4.1
Teleop36.8
End33.9
blue by 24.3
99.20.2
79.078.9
Auto11.2
Teleop50.8
End37.2
Second
2175
#14
73.20.8
64.965.8
Auto8.6
Teleop42.8
End21.8
blue by 8.5
3184
#15
81.70.2
79.178.9
Auto10.5
Teleop41.0
End30.2
Third
4239
#17
61.60.8
50.951.7
Auto13.9
Teleop30.1
End17.6
blue by 15.3
3026
#11
77.00.2
53.153.0
Auto7.9
Teleop40.7
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed