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Red200
284691.9
310274.4
302677.0
Blue220
419890.9
304274.9
320666.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133160100400500600200220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.91.0
76.775.7
Auto10.7
Teleop45.6
End35.6
red by 1.0
90.96.2
99.793.5
Auto6.5
Teleop45.4
End39.0
Second
3026
#11
77.01.0
58.157.1
Auto7.9
Teleop40.7
End28.3
red by 2.1
3042
#18
74.96.2
99.393.1
Auto4.1
Teleop36.8
End33.9
Third
3102
#13
74.41.0
80.479.4
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End33.0
red by 8.2
3206
#16
66.26.2
88.582.3
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End23.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed