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Red185
421540.6
460783.0
369156.3
Blue235
284691.9
318481.7
250251.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1762370100300400500600185235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.00.7
83.484.1
Auto6.6
Teleop39.1
End37.2
blue by 8.9
91.91.2
82.883.9
Auto10.7
Teleop45.6
End35.6
Second
3691
#22
56.30.7
49.350.0
Auto5.8
Teleop30.6
End19.8
blue by 25.5
3184
#15
81.71.2
81.282.3
Auto10.5
Teleop41.0
End30.2
Third
4215
#25
40.60.7
42.142.8
Auto3.7
Teleop28.9
End8.0
blue by 10.5
2502
#24
51.11.2
53.654.8
Auto8.8
Teleop40.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed