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Red250
70694.3
302677.0
253226.3
Blue350
284691.9
217573.2
222050.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18520350100150250300350250350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#21
94.34.8
91.295.9
Auto10.6
Teleop41.3
End42.3
red by 2.4
91.97.3
84.191.4
Auto10.7
Teleop45.6
End35.6
Second
3026
#11
77.04.8
64.569.3
Auto7.9
Teleop40.7
End28.3
red by 3.8
2175
#14
73.27.3
61.168.4
Auto8.6
Teleop42.8
End21.8
Third
2532
#26
26.34.8
22.727.5
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End-1.4
blue by 23.8
2220
#20
50.17.3
45.552.8
Auto5.5
Teleop28.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed