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Red135
217573.2
392876.7
250251.1
Blue245
485988.9
313090.4
388396.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823180100200400500600135245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#23
76.79.2
115.7106.6
Auto7.7
Teleop47.4
End21.6
blue by 19.6
96.33.5
96.192.6
Auto10.9
Teleop40.3
End45.1
Second
2175
#14
73.29.2
71.162.0
Auto8.6
Teleop42.8
End21.8
blue by 17.2
3130
#10
90.43.5
105.9102.4
Auto5.1
Teleop43.5
End41.8
Third
2502
#24
51.19.2
85.676.4
Auto8.8
Teleop40.5
End1.9
blue by 37.8
88.93.5
95.592.0
Auto11.5
Teleop38.0
End39.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
14%Rotor oddsMissed14%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed