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Red255
212941.2
313090.4
318481.7
Blue281
369156.3
302677.0
388396.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212236100150250300350255281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#10
90.43.0
87.990.9
Auto5.1
Teleop43.5
End41.8
blue by 5.9
96.32.3
94.797.0
Auto10.9
Teleop40.3
End45.1
Second
3184
#15
81.73.0
78.781.7
Auto10.5
Teleop41.0
End30.2
red by 4.7
3026
#11
77.02.3
72.875.1
Auto7.9
Teleop40.7
End28.3
Third
2129
#19
41.23.0
38.241.2
Auto2.9
Teleop25.6
End12.7
blue by 15.1
3691
#22
56.32.3
54.056.3
Auto5.8
Teleop30.6
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed