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Red135
253226.3
485988.9
250251.1
Blue292
308278.0
419890.9
302677.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221235100150200250300350135292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.95.1
92.086.9
Auto11.5
Teleop38.0
End39.4
blue by 2.0
90.94.4
93.597.9
Auto6.5
Teleop45.4
End39.0
Second
2502
#24
51.15.1
76.471.3
Auto8.8
Teleop40.5
End1.9
blue by 26.8
3082
#12
78.05.9
70.576.4
Auto8.6
Teleop33.6
End35.7
Third
2532
#26
26.36.8
43.236.4
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End-1.4
blue by 50.7
3026
#11
77.04.4
57.161.5
Auto7.9
Teleop40.7
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed