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Red375
217571.1
3130105.9
250081.2
Blue185
656978.7
460783.7
569087.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277281100200400500375185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.90.4
105.0105.5
Auto8.8
Teleop47.8
End49.3
red by 18.9
87.01.5
88.587.0
Auto11.5
Teleop42.9
End32.5
Second
81.20.4
80.480.8
Auto6.9
Teleop40.0
End34.3
blue by 2.5
83.71.5
85.283.7
Auto6.5
Teleop38.0
End39.3
Third
2175
#10
71.10.4
70.370.7
Auto6.8
Teleop41.5
End22.8
blue by 7.5
78.71.5
80.278.7
Auto9.2
Teleop39.3
End30.1