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Red145
251295.5
284676.7
249178.1
Blue230
460783.7
569087.0
217766.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082550100200400500600145230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#19
95.59.4
116.1106.8
Auto10.0
Teleop41.4
End44.1
red by 8.6
87.01.3
105.6104.3
Auto11.5
Teleop42.9
End32.5
Second
78.19.4
83.774.3
Auto8.9
Teleop43.5
End25.7
blue by 5.6
83.71.3
69.968.6
Auto6.5
Teleop38.0
End39.3
Third
2846
#15
76.79.4
85.776.4
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End27.9
red by 10.0
2177
#16
66.81.3
73.972.7
Auto9.2
Teleop31.0
End26.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed