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Red170
216997.7
604745.6
217766.8
Blue255
85786.0
3130105.9
569087.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2043120100400500170255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#11
97.74.2
106.5102.2
Auto8.5
Teleop45.9
End43.2
blue by 8.2
105.91.8
110.6108.8
Auto8.8
Teleop47.8
End49.3
Second
2177
#16
66.84.2
60.256.0
Auto9.2
Teleop31.0
End26.6
blue by 20.2
87.01.8
85.583.7
Auto11.5
Teleop42.9
End32.5
Third
6047
#12
45.64.2
41.537.3
Auto2.5
Teleop22.7
End20.4
blue by 40.4
857
#14
86.01.8
86.584.7
Auto9.9
Teleop45.9
End30.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed52%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed