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Red345
1816102.4
448075.7
217571.1
Blue235
85786.0
251295.5
460783.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2302930100400500600700345235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.47.9
94.1102.1
Auto7.1
Teleop42.2
End53.1
red by 6.8
2512
#19
95.52.4
93.691.2
Auto10.0
Teleop41.4
End44.1
Second
4480
#17
75.77.9
67.875.7
Auto8.9
Teleop39.4
End27.4
blue by 10.3
857
#14
86.02.4
88.486.0
Auto9.9
Teleop45.9
End30.1
Third
2175
#10
71.17.9
64.472.3
Auto6.8
Teleop41.5
End22.8
blue by 12.6
83.72.4
88.886.4
Auto6.5
Teleop38.0
End39.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsEarned15%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed