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Red235
674968.8
5801102.0
2169110.0
Blue345
249194.4
546485.4
257493.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295299250350400235345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#25
110.01.1
111.5110.3
Auto10.1
Teleop51.8
End48.1
red by 15.6
2491
#13
94.40.7
96.195.3
Auto10.0
Teleop44.2
End40.2
Second
102.01.1
103.4102.3
Auto12.9
Teleop49.0
End40.1
red by 8.7
2574
#24
93.30.7
94.994.2
Auto7.5
Teleop48.0
End37.8
Third
6749
#23
68.81.6
71.069.3
Auto8.1
Teleop39.9
End20.9
blue by 16.6
85.40.7
87.086.3
Auto7.2
Teleop39.3
End38.9