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Red242
288397.6
329245.5
1806110.0
Blue280
320688.5
363365.8
305583.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262234100200300400500242280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.01.9
103.9102.0
Auto17.2
Teleop46.1
End46.7
red by 21.6
3206
#17
88.52.0
93.094.9
Auto8.8
Teleop42.1
End37.6
Second
97.61.9
99.597.6
Auto11.0
Teleop49.6
End37.0
red by 14.3
3055
#40
83.33.3
74.577.8
Auto10.9
Teleop38.6
End33.8
Third
3292
#43
45.53.1
41.838.7
Auto9.6
Teleop29.8
End6.2
blue by 20.3
3633
#22
65.82.0
58.360.2
Auto7.6
Teleop34.2
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed