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Red182
320688.5
3130122.9
361046.7
Blue305
421581.5
266778.3
546485.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052240100400500600182305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.96.5
127.2120.7
Auto15.6
Teleop56.1
End51.2
red by 37.5
85.45.5
81.687.0
Auto7.2
Teleop39.3
End38.9
Second
3206
#17
88.56.5
94.988.5
Auto8.8
Teleop42.1
End37.6
red by 7.0
4215
#11
81.59.1
72.481.5
Auto9.6
Teleop33.9
End37.9
Third
3610
#59
46.710.0
56.746.7
Auto4.4
Teleop29.4
End12.9
blue by 31.6
2667
#15
78.39.1
69.278.3
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End36.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed