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Red256
302655.0
250088.5
2052117.7
Blue299
327876.1
318493.3
282384.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286270100150200250350400450500256299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#10
117.70.3
120.2120.0
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End55.3
red by 24.3
93.30.9
94.695.5
Auto11.3
Teleop46.3
End35.7
Second
88.50.3
91.190.8
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End41.7
red by 4.4
2823
#19
84.10.9
85.486.3
Auto12.6
Teleop29.8
End41.7
Third
3026
#23
55.00.3
57.657.3
Auto7.0
Teleop28.1
End19.8
blue by 21.1
3278
#34
76.11.4
78.079.4
Auto10.7
Teleop37.3
End28.0