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Red161
363078.4
253255.6
310034.2
Blue50
282555.9
454956.5
248035.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134154010020030040050016150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
#11
78.40.1
47.347.5
Auto3.5
Teleop43.4
End31.5
red by 22.0
4549
#50
56.56.9
57.450.5
Auto5.5
Teleop31.1
End19.9
Second
2532
#31
55.60.1
39.539.6
Auto6.9
Teleop26.7
End22.0
blue by 0.3
2825
#55
55.910.4
45.935.5
Auto9.1
Teleop27.4
End19.4
Third
3100
#63
34.20.1
43.043.1
Auto2.5
Teleop26.0
End5.7
blue by 1.1
2480
#59
35.310.4
40.129.8
Auto7.3
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed