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Red255
218180.6
250265.0
2052117.7
Blue147
285566.6
617567.0
340768.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25219705001,0001,5002,000255147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#10
117.71.5
111.4112.9
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End55.3
red by 49.3
3407
#12
68.45.3
65.560.3
Auto9.0
Teleop30.0
End29.5
Second
2181
#21
80.62.6
71.474.0
Auto7.2
Teleop40.4
End32.9
red by 13.6
6175
#46
67.05.3
64.759.4
Auto7.2
Teleop35.6
End24.2
Third
2502
#27
65.01.5
49.150.6
Auto9.0
Teleop38.5
End17.5
blue by 1.6
2855
#29
66.63.2
64.161.0
Auto7.4
Teleop31.8
End27.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed