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Red195
251171.4
466446.2
223969.3
Blue308
5172115.7
318493.3
251355.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1782840100400500195308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2511
#42
71.41.2
70.171.4
Auto4.3
Teleop34.8
End32.3
blue by 44.4
115.73.4
115.2118.6
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End50.1
Second
2239
#22
69.31.3
68.069.3
Auto11.1
Teleop29.5
End28.8
blue by 24.1
93.33.4
91.194.6
Auto11.3
Teleop46.3
End35.7
Third
4664
#32
46.21.2
45.046.2
Auto4.1
Teleop28.4
End13.7
blue by 9.5
2513
#35
55.75.7
50.055.7
Auto5.9
Teleop29.2
End20.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed