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Red309
249185.5
216997.7
205289.7
Blue255
363092.9
419871.5
485980.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132680100200400500600700309255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
Unranked
97.70.0
97.797.7
Auto8.5
Teleop45.9
End43.2
red by 4.8
3630
Unranked
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto4.8
Teleop49.4
End38.6
Second
2052
Unranked
89.70.0
89.789.7
Auto8.4
Teleop41.4
End39.8
red by 9.3
4859
Unranked
80.40.0
80.480.4
Auto7.2
Teleop39.7
End33.5
Third
2491
Unranked
85.50.0
85.585.5
Auto8.4
Teleop45.7
End31.3
red by 14.0
4198
Unranked
71.50.0
71.571.5
Auto4.2
Teleop42.9
End24.3