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Red215
384075.3
4536101.3
485980.4
Blue162
331359.2
266778.3
427776.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792170100400500600700800215162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
Unranked
101.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto9.6
Teleop48.6
End43.0
red by 23.0
2667
Unranked
78.30.0
78.378.3
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End36.1
Second
4859
Unranked
80.40.0
80.480.4
Auto7.2
Teleop39.7
End33.5
red by 3.9
4277
Unranked
76.60.0
76.676.6
Auto8.4
Teleop27.4
End40.7
Third
3840
Unranked
75.30.0
75.375.3
Auto7.8
Teleop35.9
End31.6
red by 16.0
3313
Unranked
59.20.0
59.259.2
Auto7.4
Teleop23.6
End28.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds